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Home Β» Predictions Β» France Ligue 1 Β» Nantes x Le Havre Betting tips for November 24 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 24 November 2024, 16h00 France Ligue 1
Nantes Nantes
PREDICTION No tip
Le Havre Le Havre
Don't miss this prediction!

Nantes x Le Havre Betting tips for November 24 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Nantes x Le Havre, Sunday, 24/11/2024
πŸ“… 24/11/2024
16:00
Nantes Nantes
1.87
X
3.42
Le Havre Le Havre
4.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Nantes x Le Havre:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Nantes x Le Havre

The main points for the tip for Nantes x Le Havre:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Nantes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Le Havre in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Nantes scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Nantes conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Le Havre conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Le Havre as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Nantes x Le Havre?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Nantes x Le Havre, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Nantes x Le Havre for the France Ligue 1 – 24 of November

🏟️ Nantes X Le Havre – France Ligue 1
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2024 – 16:00
πŸ”΅ Nantes – Winning probability: 53.70% | Fair line: 1.86
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.56% | Fair line: 3.77
πŸ”΄ Le Havre – Winning probability: 19.74% | Fair line: 5.06
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Nantes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Nantes x Le Havre is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226284 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Nantes x Le Havre

Is it worth betting on Nantes?

πŸ”΅ Nantes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.87. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $469.80
  • And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$9.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $653.40
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$76.60.

Should you bet on Le Havre?

πŸ”΄ Le Havre: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $660.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$140.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Nantes x Le Havre

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Nantes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nantes x Le Havre

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Nantes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Nantes.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Le Havre.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nantes x Le Havre

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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