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Home ยป Predictions ยป France Ligue 1 ยป Nice x Auxerre Betting tips for March 14 in France Ligue 1
Friday, 14 March 2025, 19h45 France Ligue 1
Nice Nice
PREDICTION Nice wins Probability 75% 1 X 2
Auxerre Auxerre
ODD: @1.52 Don't miss this prediction!

Nice x Auxerre Betting tips for March 14 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Nice x Auxerre, Friday, 14/3/2025
๐Ÿ“… 14/3/2025
19:45
Nice Nice
1.52
X
4.33
Auxerre Auxerre
5.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Nice x Auxerre:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Nice wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nice, you can win up to $760.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Nice x Auxerre:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Nice in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $123.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Auxerre in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Auxerre scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 Nice matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Nice has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Auxerre playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Nice x Auxerre for the France Ligue 1 – 14 of March

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Nice X Auxerre – France Ligue 1
๐Ÿ“… 14 of March, 2025 – 19:45
๐Ÿ”ต Nice – Winning probability: 75.22% | Fair line: 1.33
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.47% | Fair line: 5.72
๐Ÿ”ด Auxerre – Winning probability: 7.31% | Fair line: 13.69
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Nice
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nice x Auxerre right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1281036 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Nice x Auxerre

Is it worth betting on Nice?

๐Ÿ”ต Nice: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 75.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.52. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 750 times – having a profit of $390.00;
  • And would lose other 250 times – losing -$250.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$140.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $566.10;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$263.90.

Is betting on Auxerre worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Auxerre: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $332.50;
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$597.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Nice x Auxerre

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Nice
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nice x Auxerre

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Nice and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Nice.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Auxerre.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nice x Auxerre

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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