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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » PSG x St Etienne Betting tips for January 12 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 19h45 France Ligue 1
PSG PSG
PREDICTION PSG wins Probability 99% 1 X 2
St Etienne St Etienne
ODD: @1.08 Don't miss this prediction!

PSG x St Etienne Betting tips for January 12 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for PSG x St Etienne, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
19:45
PSG PSG
1.08
X
11.50
St Etienne St Etienne
21.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for PSG x St Etienne:

🔮 PSG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $540.00!

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Important information for your tip for PSG x St Etienne:

👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-69.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on St Etienne in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against St Etienne, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, St Etienne conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 PSG has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against St Etienne.
👉 It is not a good time for St Etienne as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on PSG x St Etienne?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on PSG x St Etienne:

Analysis from PSG x St Etienne for the France Ligue 1 – 12 of January

🏟️ PSG X St Etienne – France Ligue 1
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 19:45
🔵 PSG – Winning probability: 99.87% | Fair line: 1.0
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.09% | Fair line: 1057.0
🔴 St Etienne – Winning probability: 0.03% | Fair line: 3107.85
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -3.5 PSG
⚽ Expected goals: 4.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 11.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on PSG x St Etienne is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for PSG x St Etienne

Should you bet on PSG?

🔵 PSG: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 99.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 1000 times – this would give you a profit of $80.00
  • And would have lost other 0 times – with a loss of -$0.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$80.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 11.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
  • And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is betting on St Etienne worth it?

🔴 St Etienne: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 21.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match PSG x St Etienne

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -3.5 PSG
⚽ Expected goals: 4.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSG x St Etienne

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -3.5 PSG, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.75 PSG.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.75 PSG.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSG x St Etienne

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 4.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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