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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » PSG x St Etienne Betting tips for January 12 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 19h45 France Ligue 1
PSG PSG
PREDICTION PSG wins Probability 99% 1 X 2
St Etienne St Etienne
ODD: @1.08 Don't miss this prediction!

PSG x St Etienne Betting tips for January 12 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for PSG x St Etienne, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
19:45
PSG PSG
1.08
X
11.28
St Etienne St Etienne
21.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for PSG x St Etienne:

🔮 PSG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $540.00!

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Some important points for the tip for PSG x St Etienne:

👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-69.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on St Etienne in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against St Etienne, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, St Etienne conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 PSG has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against St Etienne.
👉 It is not a good time for St Etienne as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from PSG x St Etienne for the France Ligue 1 – 12 of January

🏟️ PSG X St Etienne – France Ligue 1
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 19:45
🔵 PSG – Winning probability: 99.85% | Fair line: 1.0
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.14% | Fair line: 727.83
🔴 St Etienne – Winning probability: 0.01% | Fair line: 7798.24
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -3.5 PSG
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 11.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for PSG x St Etienne right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for PSG x St Etienne

Is it a good idea to bet on PSG?

🔵 PSG: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 99.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 1000 times – this would give you a profit of $80.00
  • And would lose other 0 times – having a loss of -$0.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$80.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 11.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
  • And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on St Etienne?

🔴 St Etienne: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 21.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match PSG x St Etienne

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -3.5 PSG
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSG x St Etienne

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -3.5 PSG and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.75 PSG.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.75 PSG.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSG x St Etienne

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 4.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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