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16/1/2022 14:00 |
 Reims1.91 |
X 3.33 |
Metz  4.12 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Reims x Metz:
๐ฎ Reims wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Reims, you can win up to $954.75!
๐ Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Reims x Metz
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Reims x Metz?
If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best bookies analysed by us in 2022. You just have to click, deposit and bet:
Analysis from Reims x Metz for the France Ligue 1 – 16 of January
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๐๏ธ Reims X Metz – France Ligue 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Reims x Metz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288046 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Reims x Metz
Is it a good idea to bet on Reims?
๐ต Reims: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 63.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 630 times – profiting $572.99;
- And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$202.99.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $559.20
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$200.80.
Should you bet on Metz?
๐ด Metz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $406.25
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$463.75.
Handicaps analysis for the match Reims x Metz
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Reims
โฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Reims x Metz
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Reims and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Reims.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Reims.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Reims x Metz
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
