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Home Β» Predictions Β» France Ligue 1 Β» Rennes x Marseille Betting tips for January 11 in France Ligue 1
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 20h05 France Ligue 1
Rennes Rennes
PREDICTION No tip
Marseille Marseille
Don't miss this prediction!

Rennes x Marseille Betting tips for January 11 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Rennes x Marseille, Saturday, 11/1/2025
πŸ“… 11/1/2025
20:05
Rennes Rennes
2.75
X
3.25
Marseille Marseille
2.54

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Rennes x Marseille:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Rennes x Marseille

Important information for your tip for Rennes x Marseille:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Rennes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-33.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Marseille in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $523.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Marseille scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Rennes x Marseille, with Rennes as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Marseille is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 5 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Rennes x Marseille for the France Ligue 1 – 11 of January

🏟️ Rennes X Marseille – France Ligue 1
πŸ“… 11 of January, 2025 – 20:05
πŸ”΅ Rennes – Winning probability: 30.16% | Fair line: 3.32
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.57% | Fair line: 3.27
πŸ”΄ Marseille – Winning probability: 39.27% | Fair line: 2.55
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Rennes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Rennes x Marseille right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244796 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Rennes x Marseille

Is it worth betting on Rennes?

πŸ”΅ Rennes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $525.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$175.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $697.50
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$7.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Marseille?

πŸ”΄ Marseille: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $600.60;
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$9.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Rennes x Marseille

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Rennes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rennes x Marseille

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Rennes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Rennes.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Marseille.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rennes x Marseille

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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