📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for St Etienne x Lens
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Analysis from St Etienne x Lens for the France Ligue 1 – 15 of January
🏟️ St Etienne X Lens – France Ligue 1
When the best bet on St Etienne x Lens is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 287992 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for St Etienne x Lens
Should you bet on St Etienne?
🔵 St Etienne: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $378.00;
- And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$442.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $600.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Lens?
🔴 Lens: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $696.00
- And would lose other 420 times – losing -$420.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$276.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match St Etienne x Lens
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 St Etienne
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for St Etienne x Lens
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 St Etienne and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 St Etienne.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for St Etienne x Lens
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves