Strasbourg x Marseille Betting tips for September 29 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Strasbourg x Marseille, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 15:45

Strasbourg 3.70

X 3.75

Marseille 1.91

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Strasbourg x Marseille:

🔮 Marseille wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Marseille, you can win up to $955.00!

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The main points for the tip for Strasbourg x Marseille: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Strasbourg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-175.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Marseille in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $435.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Strasbourg scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Marseille scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Marseille matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Strasbourg conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Marseille conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Strasbourg conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Marseille. 👉 In the last 6 road matches, Marseille has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Strasbourg x Marseille for the France Ligue 1 – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Strasbourg x Marseille right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Strasbourg x Marseille

Is betting on Strasbourg worth it?

🔵 Strasbourg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $675.00;
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$75.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $412.50
• And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$437.50.

Is betting on Marseille worth it?

🔴 Marseille: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $546.00;
• And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$146.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Strasbourg x Marseille

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Strasbourg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Strasbourg x Marseille

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Strasbourg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Strasbourg.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Marseille.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Strasbourg x Marseille

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.