Toulouse x Lyon Betting tips for September 29 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Toulouse x Lyon, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 10:00

Toulouse 2.50

X 3.35

Lyon 2.70

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Toulouse x Lyon:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Toulouse x Lyon

The main points for the tip for Toulouse x Lyon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Toulouse in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-320.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lyon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-225.0. 👉 Lyon did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Lyon, Toulouse scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Toulouse x Lyon, with Toulouse as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Toulouse conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Lyon. 👉 Even as a visitor, Lyon won the last 3 head-to-head matches Toulouse´s territory

Looking for another bookie to bet on Toulouse x Lyon?

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Analysis from Toulouse x Lyon for the France Ligue 1 – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Toulouse and Lyon.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Toulouse x Lyon

Should you bet on Toulouse?

🔵 Toulouse: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $585.00
• And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$25.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $564.00
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$196.00.

Is it worth betting on Lyon?

🔴 Lyon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 370 times – profiting $629.00;
• And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$1.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Toulouse x Lyon

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Toulouse
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Toulouse x Lyon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Toulouse, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Toulouse.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Lyon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Toulouse x Lyon

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.