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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Toulouse x Strasbourg Betting tips for January 12 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 16h15 France Ligue 1
Toulouse Toulouse
PREDICTION Toulouse wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
Strasbourg Strasbourg
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction!

Toulouse x Strasbourg Betting tips for January 12 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Toulouse x Strasbourg, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
16:15
Toulouse Toulouse
1.75
X
3.84
Strasbourg Strasbourg
4.33

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Toulouse x Strasbourg:

🔮 Toulouse wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Toulouse, you can win up to $875.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Toulouse x Strasbourg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Toulouse in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-7.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Strasbourg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-161.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Toulouse scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Strasbourg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Strasbourg matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Toulouse is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Toulouse x Strasbourg?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Toulouse x Strasbourg, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Toulouse x Strasbourg for the France Ligue 1 – 12 of January

🏟️ Toulouse X Strasbourg – France Ligue 1
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 16:15
🔵 Toulouse – Winning probability: 71.26% | Fair line: 1.4
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.30% | Fair line: 5.18
🔴 Strasbourg – Winning probability: 9.43% | Fair line: 10.6
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Toulouse
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Toulouse x Strasbourg is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Toulouse x Strasbourg

Is it a good idea to bet on Toulouse?

🔵 Toulouse: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 71.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 710 times – having a profit of $532.50;
  • And would have lost other 290 times – with a loss of -$290.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$242.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $539.60;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$270.40.

Is betting on Strasbourg worth it?

🔴 Strasbourg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $299.70;
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$610.30.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Toulouse x Strasbourg

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Toulouse
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Toulouse x Strasbourg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Toulouse, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Toulouse.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Strasbourg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Toulouse x Strasbourg

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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