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16/1/2022 16:05 |
 Troyes4.03 |
X 3.95 |
Lyon  1.79 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Troyes x Lyon:
๐ฎ Lyon wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lyon, you can win up to $892.75!
๐ Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Troyes x Lyon
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Analysis from Troyes x Lyon for the France Ligue 1 – 16 of January
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๐๏ธ Troyes X Lyon – France Ligue 1 |
When the best bet on Troyes x Lyon is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288046 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Troyes x Lyon
Is it worth betting on Troyes?
๐ต Troyes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.03. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 100 times – profiting $302.50;
- And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$597.50.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – profiting $442.50;
- And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$407.50.
Is betting on Lyon worth it?
๐ด Lyon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 75.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.79. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 760 times – profiting $596.98;
- And would lose other 240 times – having a loss of -$240.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$356.98.
Handicaps analysis for the match Troyes x Lyon
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Troyes
โฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Troyes x Lyon
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Troyes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Troyes.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Lyon.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Troyes x Lyon
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
