AC Milan x Cagliari Betting tips for January 11 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for AC Milan x Cagliari, Saturday, 11/1/2025

📅 11/1/2025 19:45

AC Milan 1.35

X 5.00

Cagliari 8.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AC Milan x Cagliari:

🔮 AC Milan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AC Milan, you can win up to $675.00!

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Some important points for the tip for AC Milan x Cagliari: 👉 If you had bet $100 on AC Milan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-107.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cagliari in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Cagliari, AC Milan scored at least 4 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Cagliari matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between AC Milan x Cagliari, with AC Milan as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Cagliari conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, AC Milan conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Cagliari. 👉 AC Milan has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Cagliari playing at home.

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Analysis from AC Milan x Cagliari for the Italy Serie A – 11 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AC Milan and Cagliari.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244516 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AC Milan x Cagliari

Should you bet on AC Milan?

🔵 AC Milan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 89.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 890 times – profiting $311.50;
• And would lose other 110 times – having a loss of -$110.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$201.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $280.00;
• And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$650.00.

Is betting on Cagliari worth it?

🔴 Cagliari: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $288.00;
• And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$672.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match AC Milan x Cagliari

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 AC Milan
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AC Milan x Cagliari

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 AC Milan, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 AC Milan.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 AC Milan.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AC Milan x Cagliari

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.