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AC Milan x Spezia Betting tips for January 17 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for AC Milan x Spezia, Monday, 17/1/2022
๐Ÿ“… 17/1/2022
17:30
AC Milan
1.30
X
5.30
Spezia
9.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AC Milan x Spezia:

๐Ÿ”ฎ AC Milan wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AC Milan, you can win up to $650.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for AC Milan x Spezia

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AC Milan x Spezia?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AC Milan x Spezia, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2022. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from AC Milan x Spezia for the Italy Serie A – 17 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ AC Milan X Spezia – Italy Serie A
๐Ÿ“… 17 of January, 2022 – 17:30
๐Ÿ”ต AC Milan – Winning probability: 93.64% | Fair line: 1.07
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.46% | Fair line: 22.41
๐Ÿ”ด Spezia – Winning probability: 1.89% | Fair line: 52.77
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 AC Milan
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on AC Milan x Spezia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288856 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AC Milan x Spezia

Is betting on AC Milan worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต AC Milan: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 93.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 940 times – profiting $282.00;
  • And would lose other 60 times – having a loss of -$60.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$222.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – profiting $172.00;
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$788.00.

Should you bet on Spezia?

๐Ÿ”ด Spezia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 9.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $170.00;
  • And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$810.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match AC Milan x Spezia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 AC Milan
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AC Milan x Spezia

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 AC Milan, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 AC Milan.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AC Milan x Spezia

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

You can check out our tips on YouTube

Keep in mind that our team of bettors is daily on YouTube with complete videos of analysis for the best matches of the day. Check out our bets for this Monday right above and subscribe to our betting tips channel.

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Aside from our tips for AC Milan x Spezia generated by our algorithm, you can also receive on your cellphone bets made by the experts from Clube da Aposta on this Monday. Click on the banner below and join our VIP group on Telegram right now. And the best part: for free!

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves