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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Atalanta x Monza Betting tips for October 30 in Italy Serie A
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 19h45 Italy Serie A
Atalanta Atalanta
PREDICTION Atalanta wins Probability 93% 1 X 2
Monza Monza
ODD: @1.36 Don't miss this prediction!

Atalanta x Monza Betting tips for October 30 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Atalanta x Monza, Wednesday, 30/10/2024
📅 30/10/2024
19:45
Atalanta Atalanta
1.36
X
5.00
Monza Monza
8.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atalanta x Monza:

🔮 Atalanta wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atalanta, you can win up to $680.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Atalanta x Monza:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atalanta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-229.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Monza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
👉 Atalanta did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the home team.
👉 Atalanta is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 62.00% of possession.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Atalanta x Monza?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atalanta x Monza, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Atalanta x Monza for the Italy Serie A – 30 of October

🏟️ Atalanta X Monza – Italy Serie A
📅 30 of October, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Atalanta – Winning probability: 93.13% | Fair line: 1.07
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.48% | Fair line: 22.3
🔴 Monza – Winning probability: 2.39% | Fair line: 41.91
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Atalanta
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atalanta x Monza right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1212778 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atalanta x Monza

Is it a good idea to bet on Atalanta?

🔵 Atalanta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 93.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 930 times – profiting $334.80;
  • And would lose other 70 times – having a loss of -$70.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$264.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – profiting $160.00;
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$800.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Monza?

🔴 Monza: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $140.00;
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$840.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atalanta x Monza

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Atalanta
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atalanta x Monza

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.0 Atalanta and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Atalanta.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Atalanta.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atalanta x Monza

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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