Como x Fiorentina Betting tips for November 24 in Italy Serie A
| 📅 24/11/2024 14:00 |
 Como2.99 |
X 3.28 |
Fiorentina  2.37 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Como x Fiorentina:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1640.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Como x Fiorentina: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Como in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0. |
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Analysis from Como x Fiorentina for the Italy Serie A – 24 of November
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🏟️ Como X Fiorentina – Italy Serie A |
When the best bet on Como x Fiorentina is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226284 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Como x Fiorentina
Should you bet on Como?
🔵 Como: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.99. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $597.00
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$103.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $866.40;
- And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$246.40.
Should you bet on Fiorentina?
🔴 Fiorentina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $438.40;
- And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$241.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Como x Fiorentina
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Como
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Como x Fiorentina
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Como, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Como.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Como x Fiorentina
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
