Como x Roma Betting tips for December 15 in Italy Serie A
| 📅 15/12/2024 17:00 |
 Como2.95 |
X 3.25 |
Roma  2.38 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Como x Roma:
🔮 Roma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Roma, you can win up to $1190.00!
|
The main points for the tip for Como x Roma: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Como in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Como x Roma?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Como x Roma:
Analysis from Como x Roma for the Italy Serie A – 15 of December
|
🏟️ Como X Roma – Italy Serie A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Como x Roma right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1236700 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Como x Roma
Should you bet on Como?
🔵 Como: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – profiting $468.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$292.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 160 times – profiting $360.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$480.00.
Should you bet on Roma?
🔴 Roma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 600 times – profiting $828.00;
- And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$428.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Como x Roma
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Como
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Como x Roma
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Como, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Como.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Roma.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Como x Roma
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
