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Home ยป Predictions ยป Italy Serie A ยป Como x Torino Betting tips for April 13 in Italy Serie A
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 16h00 Italy Serie A
Como Como
PREDICTION Como wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
Torino Torino
ODD: @2 Don't miss this prediction!

Como x Torino Betting tips for April 13 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Como x Torino, Sunday, 13/4/2025
๐Ÿ“… 13/4/2025
16:00
Como Como
2.00
X
3.34
Torino Torino
3.70

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Como x Torino:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Como wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Como, you can win up to $1000.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Como x Torino:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Como in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Torino in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-309.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Como scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Torino scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Como conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Torino has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Como x Torino for the Italy Serie A – 13 of April

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Como X Torino – Italy Serie A
๐Ÿ“… 13 of April, 2025 – 16:00
๐Ÿ”ต Como – Winning probability: 60.34% | Fair line: 1.66
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.88% | Fair line: 4.37
๐Ÿ”ด Torino – Winning probability: 16.78% | Fair line: 5.96
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Como
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Como x Torino is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302187 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Como x Torino

Is it a good idea to bet on Como?

๐Ÿ”ต Como: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $600.00;
  • And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$200.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.34. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $538.20;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$231.80.

Should you bet on Torino?

๐Ÿ”ด Torino: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $459.00;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$371.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Como x Torino

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Como
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Como x Torino

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Como, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Como.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Como.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Como x Torino

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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