Empoli x Udinese Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Serie A
| 📅 25/11/2024 17:30 |
 Empoli2.46 |
X 2.98 |
Udinese  3.06 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Empoli x Udinese:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1490.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Empoli x Udinese: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Empoli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-225.0. |
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Analysis from Empoli x Udinese for the Italy Serie A – 25 of November
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🏟️ Empoli X Udinese – Italy Serie A |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Empoli and Udinese.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226828 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Empoli x Udinese
Is it worth betting on Empoli?
🔵 Empoli: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.46. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 210 times – profiting $306.60;
- And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$483.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 450 times – profiting $891.00;
- And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$341.00.
Is betting on Udinese worth it?
🔴 Udinese: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.06. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $700.40
- And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$40.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Empoli x Udinese
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Empoli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Empoli x Udinese
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Empoli, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Empoli.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Empoli x Udinese
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
