📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Fiorentina x Genoa
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Analysis from Fiorentina x Genoa for the Italy Serie A – 17 of January
🏟️ Fiorentina X Genoa – Italy Serie A
When the best bet on Fiorentina x Genoa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288856 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Fiorentina x Genoa
Should you bet on Fiorentina?
🔵 Fiorentina: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 89.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 890 times – having a profit of $427.20;
- And would lose other 110 times – losing -$110.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$317.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.34. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 70 times – profiting $233.80;
- And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$696.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on Genoa?
🔴 Genoa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $220.00;
- And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$740.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Fiorentina x Genoa
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Fiorentina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fiorentina x Genoa
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Fiorentina, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Fiorentina.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Fiorentina.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fiorentina x Genoa
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
Our tips are also on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves