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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Fiorentina x Inter Milan Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie A
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 17h00 Italy Serie A
Fiorentina Fiorentina
PREDICTION Inter Milan Wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
Inter Milan Inter Milan
ODD: @2 Don't miss this prediction!

Fiorentina x Inter Milan Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Fiorentina x Inter Milan, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
17:00
Fiorentina Fiorentina
3.54
X
3.60
Inter Milan Inter Milan
2.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Fiorentina x Inter Milan:

🔮 Inter Milan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Inter Milan, you can win up to $1000.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Fiorentina x Inter Milan:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Fiorentina in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $461.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Inter Milan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $245.0.
👉 Inter Milan did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Fiorentina scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Inter Milan scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Fiorentina matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Fiorentina conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Fiorentina conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Inter Milan.
👉 Fiorentina is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Inter Milan has not lost any of them.
👉 Even as a visitor, Inter Milan won the last 5 head-to-head matches Fiorentina´s territory

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Fiorentina x Inter Milan?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Fiorentina x Inter Milan for the Italy Serie A – 1 of December

🏟️ Fiorentina X Inter Milan – Italy Serie A
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 17:00
🔵 Fiorentina – Winning probability: 22.63% | Fair line: 4.42
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.53% | Fair line: 5.7
🔴 Inter Milan – Winning probability: 59.84% | Fair line: 1.67
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Fiorentina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Fiorentina x Inter Milan is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Fiorentina x Inter Milan

Is betting on Fiorentina worth it?

🔵 Fiorentina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.54. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $584.20;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$185.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $468.00;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$352.00.

Is it worth betting on Inter Milan?

🔴 Inter Milan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 59.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
  • And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$200.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Fiorentina x Inter Milan

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Fiorentina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fiorentina x Inter Milan

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Fiorentina and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Fiorentina.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fiorentina x Inter Milan

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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