Genoa x Cagliari Betting tips for November 24 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Genoa x Cagliari, Sunday, 24/11/2024

📅 24/11/2024 11:30

Genoa 2.58

X 3.20

Cagliari 2.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Genoa x Cagliari:

🔮 Cagliari wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cagliari, you can win up to $1400.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Genoa x Cagliari: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Genoa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cagliari in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Genoa conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Cagliari conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Genoa has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Cagliari playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Genoa x Cagliari?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Genoa x Cagliari for the Italy Serie A – 24 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Genoa x Cagliari right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225929 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Genoa x Cagliari

Is betting on Genoa worth it?

🔵 Genoa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $395.00;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$355.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $726.00;
• And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$56.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Cagliari?

🔴 Cagliari: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $738.00
• And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$148.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Genoa x Cagliari

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Genoa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Genoa x Cagliari

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Genoa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Genoa.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Cagliari.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Genoa x Cagliari

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.