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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Genoa x Fiorentina Betting tips for October 31 in Italy Serie A
Thursday, 31 October 2024, 17h30 Italy Serie A
Genoa Genoa
PREDICTION Fiorentina Wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
Fiorentina Fiorentina
ODD: @2.12 Don't miss this prediction!

Genoa x Fiorentina Betting tips for October 31 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Genoa x Fiorentina, Thursday, 31/10/2024
📅 31/10/2024
17:30
Genoa Genoa
3.30
X
3.49
Fiorentina Fiorentina
2.12

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Genoa x Fiorentina:

🔮 Fiorentina wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fiorentina, you can win up to $1060.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Genoa x Fiorentina:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Genoa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fiorentina in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Fiorentina, Genoa scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Genoa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Genoa conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Fiorentina.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Fiorentina has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Genoa x Fiorentina?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Genoa x Fiorentina, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Genoa x Fiorentina for the Italy Serie A – 31 of October

🏟️ Genoa X Fiorentina – Italy Serie A
📅 31 of October, 2024 – 17:30
🔵 Genoa – Winning probability: 15.90% | Fair line: 6.29
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.46% | Fair line: 5.14
🔴 Fiorentina – Winning probability: 64.64% | Fair line: 1.55
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Genoa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Genoa and Fiorentina.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1213227 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Genoa x Fiorentina

Is betting on Genoa worth it?

🔵 Genoa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $368.00;
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$472.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.49. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $473.10;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$336.90.

Should you bet on Fiorentina?

🔴 Fiorentina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 64.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $728.00
  • And would lose other 350 times – losing -$350.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$378.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Genoa x Fiorentina

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Genoa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Genoa x Fiorentina

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Genoa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Genoa.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Genoa x Fiorentina

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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