Genoa x Parma Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Genoa x Parma, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 11:30

Genoa 1.99

X 3.49

Parma 3.62

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Genoa x Parma:

🔮 Genoa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Genoa, you can win up to $995.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Genoa x Parma: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Genoa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Parma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Parma, Genoa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Genoa x Parma, with Genoa as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Genoa conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Parma.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Genoa x Parma?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Genoa x Parma for the Italy Serie A – 12 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Genoa x Parma right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Genoa x Parma

Is it a good idea to bet on Genoa?

🔵 Genoa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.99. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 600 times – profiting $594.00;
• And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$194.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.49. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $547.80
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$232.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on Parma?

🔴 Parma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $445.40;
• And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$384.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Genoa x Parma

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Genoa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Genoa x Parma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Genoa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Genoa. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Genoa x Parma

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.