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Home Β» Predictions Β» Italy Serie A Β» Lazio x Bologna Betting tips for November 24 in Italy Serie A
Sunday, 24 November 2024, 19h45 Italy Serie A
Lazio Lazio
PREDICTION No tip
Bologna Bologna
Don't miss this prediction!

Lazio x Bologna Betting tips for November 24 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Lazio x Bologna, Sunday, 24/11/2024
πŸ“… 24/11/2024
19:45
Lazio Lazio
1.85
X
3.50
Bologna Bologna
4.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lazio x Bologna:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Lazio x Bologna

Important information for your tip for Lazio x Bologna:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $397.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bologna in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $75.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Lazio scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Bologna, Lazio scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 Lazio matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Lazio is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Lazio x Bologna for the Italy Serie A – 24 of November

🏟️ Lazio X Bologna – Italy Serie A
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2024 – 19:45
πŸ”΅ Lazio – Winning probability: 54.73% | Fair line: 1.83
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.52% | Fair line: 3.63
πŸ”΄ Bologna – Winning probability: 17.75% | Fair line: 5.63
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lazio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Lazio x Bologna is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1225929 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lazio x Bologna

Is it a good idea to bet on Lazio?

πŸ”΅ Lazio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 550 times – profiting $467.50;
  • And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$17.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $700.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$20.00.

Is it worth betting on Bologna?

πŸ”΄ Bologna: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $576.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$244.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lazio x Bologna

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lazio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lazio x Bologna

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Lazio and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Lazio.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Bologna.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lazio x Bologna

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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