Monza x Parma Betting tips for March 15 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Monza x Parma, Saturday, 15/3/2025

📅 15/3/2025 14:00

Monza 2.88

X 3.10

Parma 2.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Monza x Parma:

🔮 Parma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Parma, you can win up to $1250.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Monza x Parma: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-80.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Parma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Monza did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 3 Monza matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Parma conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Parma as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Monza x Parma?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Monza x Parma, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Monza x Parma for the Italy Serie A – 15 of March

When the best bet on Monza x Parma is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Monza x Parma

Is it a good idea to bet on Monza?

🔵 Monza: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $451.20;
• And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$308.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $609.00
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$101.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Parma?

🔴 Parma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $705.00
• And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$175.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Monza x Parma

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Monza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monza x Parma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Monza and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Monza.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Parma.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monza x Parma

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.