Napoli x Monza Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Napoli x Monza, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 15:45

Napoli 1.44

X 4.50

Monza 7.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Napoli x Monza:

🔮 Napoli wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Napoli, you can win up to $720.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Napoli x Monza: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Napoli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-30.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monza in each of its last 4 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-400. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Napoli scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Napoli matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Napoli is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Napoli x Monza?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Napoli x Monza, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Napoli x Monza for the Italy Serie A – 29 of September

When the best bet on Napoli x Monza is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Napoli x Monza

Is betting on Napoli worth it?

🔵 Napoli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 90.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 910 times – this would give you a profit of $400.40
• And would lose other 90 times – having a loss of -$90.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$310.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $210.00
• And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$730.00.

Should you bet on Monza?

🔴 Monza: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $180.00
• And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$790.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Napoli x Monza

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Napoli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Napoli x Monza

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Napoli, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Napoli.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Monza.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Napoli x Monza

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.