Parma x Lazio Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Parma x Lazio, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 14:00

Parma 3.55

X 3.80

Lazio 1.93

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Parma x Lazio:

🔮 Lazio wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lazio, you can win up to $965.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Parma x Lazio: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Parma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $468.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Lazio scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Parma x Lazio, with Parma as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Parma conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Parma conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Lazio. 👉 Lazio is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches. 👉 Even as a visitor, Lazio won the last 4 head-to-head matches Parma´s territory

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Parma x Lazio?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Parma x Lazio, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Parma x Lazio for the Italy Serie A – 1 of December

When the best bet on Parma x Lazio is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Parma x Lazio

Is betting on Parma worth it?

🔵 Parma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $229.50;
• And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$680.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $308.00
• And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$582.00.

Is betting on Lazio worth it?

🔴 Lazio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 79.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.93. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 800 times – profiting $744.00;
• And would lose other 200 times – having a loss of -$200.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$544.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Parma x Lazio

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Parma
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Parma x Lazio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Parma and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Parma.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Lazio.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Parma x Lazio

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.