Roma x Napoli Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Roma x Napoli, Sunday, 2/2/2025

📅 2/2/2025 19:45

Roma 2.90

X 3.25

Napoli 2.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Roma x Napoli:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1625.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Roma x Napoli: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Roma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $340.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Napoli in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $392.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Roma scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Napoli scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Roma x Napoli, with Roma as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 Napoli matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Roma is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Napoli is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 4 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Analysis from Roma x Napoli for the Italy Serie A – 2 of February

When the best bet on Roma x Napoli is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1255121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Roma x Napoli

Is it a good idea to bet on Roma?

🔵 Roma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $589.00
• And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$101.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 360 times – profiting $810.00;
• And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$170.00.

Is it worth betting on Napoli?

🔴 Napoli: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $462.00;
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Roma x Napoli

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Roma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Roma x Napoli

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Roma and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Roma.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Roma x Napoli

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.