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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Roma x Venezia Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie A
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 10h00 Italy Serie A
Roma Roma
PREDICTION Roma wins Probability 89% 1 X 2
Venezia Venezia
ODD: @1.41 Don't miss this prediction!

Roma x Venezia Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Roma x Venezia, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
10:00
Roma Roma
1.41
X
4.73
Venezia Venezia
7.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Roma x Venezia:

🔮 Roma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Roma, you can win up to $705.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Roma x Venezia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Roma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-333.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Venezia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-335.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Roma scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Roma is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Roma x Venezia?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Roma x Venezia, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Roma x Venezia for the Italy Serie A – 29 of September

🏟️ Roma X Venezia – Italy Serie A
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 Roma – Winning probability: 89.08% | Fair line: 1.12
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.16% | Fair line: 12.26
🔴 Venezia – Winning probability: 2.76% | Fair line: 36.27
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Roma
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Roma and Venezia.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Roma x Venezia

Is it a good idea to bet on Roma?

🔵 Roma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 89.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.41. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 890 times – profiting $364.90;
  • And would lose other 110 times – losing -$110.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$254.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.73. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $298.40;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$621.60.

Should you bet on Venezia?

🔴 Venezia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $180.00;
  • And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$790.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Roma x Venezia

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Roma
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Roma x Venezia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Roma and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Roma.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Roma.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Roma x Venezia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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