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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Torino x Monza Betting tips for November 24 in Italy Serie A
Sunday, 24 November 2024, 14h00 Italy Serie A
Torino Torino
PREDICTION Torino wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
Monza Monza
ODD: @1.95 Don't miss this prediction!

Torino x Monza Betting tips for November 24 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Torino x Monza, Sunday, 24/11/2024
📅 24/11/2024
14:00
Torino Torino
1.95
X
3.25
Monza Monza
4.33

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Torino x Monza:

🔮 Torino wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Torino, you can win up to $975.00!

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Important information for your tip for Torino x Monza:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Torino in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Monza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Monza, Torino scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Torino x Monza, with Torino as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Torino has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Monza playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Torino x Monza for the Italy Serie A – 24 of November

🏟️ Torino X Monza – Italy Serie A
📅 24 of November, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Torino – Winning probability: 59.08% | Fair line: 1.69
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.34% | Fair line: 3.3
🔴 Monza – Winning probability: 10.58% | Fair line: 9.45
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Torino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Torino and Monza.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1226284 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Torino x Monza

Should you bet on Torino?

🔵 Torino: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $560.50
  • And would lose other 410 times – losing -$410.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$150.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $675.00
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$25.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Monza?

🔴 Monza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $366.30
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$523.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Torino x Monza

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Torino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Torino x Monza

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Torino and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Torino.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Torino.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Torino x Monza

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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