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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Torino x Napoli Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie A
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 14h00 Italy Serie A
Torino Torino
PREDICTION Napoli Wins Probability 79% 1 X 2
Napoli Napoli
ODD: @1.89 Don't miss this prediction!

Torino x Napoli Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Torino x Napoli, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
14:00
Torino Torino
4.25
X
3.40
Napoli Napoli
1.89

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Torino x Napoli:

🔮 Napoli wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Napoli, you can win up to $945.00!

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The main points for the tip for Torino x Napoli:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Torino in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Napoli in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $127.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Napoli scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Torino matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Napoli matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Napoli has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Torino x Napoli?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Torino x Napoli for the Italy Serie A – 1 of December

🏟️ Torino X Napoli – Italy Serie A
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Torino – Winning probability: 8.59% | Fair line: 11.64
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.71% | Fair line: 8.54
🔴 Napoli – Winning probability: 79.70% | Fair line: 1.25
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Torino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Torino x Napoli is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Torino x Napoli

Should you bet on Torino?

🔵 Torino: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $292.50;
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$617.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $288.00
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$592.00.

Is betting on Napoli worth it?

🔴 Napoli: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 79.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.89. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 800 times – profiting $712.00;
  • And would lose other 200 times – having a loss of -$200.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$512.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Torino x Napoli

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Torino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Torino x Napoli

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Torino and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Torino.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Napoli.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Torino x Napoli

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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