Udinese x Verona Betting tips for March 15 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Udinese x Verona, Saturday, 15/3/2025

📅 15/3/2025 14:00

Udinese 1.83

X 3.51

Verona 4.33

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Udinese x Verona:

🔮 Udinese wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Udinese, you can win up to $915.00!

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The main points for the tip for Udinese x Verona: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Udinese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $45.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Verona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Udinese scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Verona, Udinese scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Verona matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Udinese conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Verona. 👉 Udinese is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Udinese has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Verona playing at home.

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Analysis from Udinese x Verona for the Italy Serie A – 15 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Udinese x Verona right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Udinese x Verona

Should you bet on Udinese?

🔵 Udinese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 620 times – profiting $514.60;
• And would have lost other 380 times – with a loss of -$380.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$134.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.51. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $602.40;
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$157.60.

Is betting on Verona worth it?

🔴 Verona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 140 times – profiting $466.20;
• And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$393.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Udinese x Verona

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Udinese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Udinese x Verona

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Udinese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Udinese.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Udinese.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Udinese x Verona

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.