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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Venezia x Inter Milan Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie A
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 14h00 Italy Serie A
Venezia Venezia
PREDICTION Inter Milan Wins Probability 93% 1 X 2
Inter Milan Inter Milan
ODD: @1.32 Don't miss this prediction!

Venezia x Inter Milan Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Venezia x Inter Milan, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
14:00
Venezia Venezia
8.50
X
5.40
Inter Milan Inter Milan
1.32

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Venezia x Inter Milan:

🔮 Inter Milan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Inter Milan, you can win up to $660.00!

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Important information for your tip for Venezia x Inter Milan:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Venezia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-260.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Inter Milan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $137.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Venezia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Venezia conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Venezia x Inter Milan for the Italy Serie A – 12 of January

🏟️ Venezia X Inter Milan – Italy Serie A
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 Venezia – Winning probability: 1.83% | Fair line: 54.54
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.19% | Fair line: 23.88
🔴 Inter Milan – Winning probability: 93.98% | Fair line: 1.06
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Venezia
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Venezia x Inter Milan is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Venezia x Inter Milan

Is betting on Venezia worth it?

🔵 Venezia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $150.00
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$830.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $176.00
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$784.00.

Is betting on Inter Milan worth it?

🔴 Inter Milan: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 93.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.32. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 940 times – this would give you a profit of $300.80
  • And would lose other 60 times – having a loss of -$60.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$240.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Venezia x Inter Milan

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Venezia
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Venezia x Inter Milan

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.5 Venezia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.5 Venezia.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Venezia x Inter Milan

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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