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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Venezia x Udinese Betting tips for October 30 in Italy Serie A
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 17h30 Italy Serie A
Venezia Venezia
PREDICTION No tip
Udinese Udinese
Don't miss this prediction!

Venezia x Udinese Betting tips for October 30 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Venezia x Udinese, Wednesday, 30/10/2024
📅 30/10/2024
17:30
Venezia Venezia
2.70
X
3.28
Udinese Udinese
2.62

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Venezia x Udinese:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Venezia x Udinese

The main points for the tip for Venezia x Udinese:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Udinese in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
👉 In the last 3 Venezia matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Udinese conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Venezia x Udinese for the Italy Serie A – 30 of October

🏟️ Venezia X Udinese – Italy Serie A
📅 30 of October, 2024 – 17:30
🔵 Venezia – Winning probability: 37.25% | Fair line: 2.68
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.13% | Fair line: 3.32
🔴 Udinese – Winning probability: 32.62% | Fair line: 3.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Venezia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Venezia x Udinese right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1212778 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Venezia x Udinese

Is betting on Venezia worth it?

🔵 Venezia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – profiting $629.00;
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$1.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $684.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$16.00.

Is betting on Udinese worth it?

🔴 Udinese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $534.60;
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$135.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Venezia x Udinese

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Venezia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Venezia x Udinese

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Venezia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Venezia.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Venezia x Udinese

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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