Kariobangi Sharks x Sofapaka FC Betting tips for December 1 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Kariobangi Sharks x Sofapaka FC, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 10:00

Kariobangi Sharks 2.55

X 2.88

Sofapaka FC 2.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Kariobangi Sharks x Sofapaka FC:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1440.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Kariobangi Sharks x Sofapaka FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Kariobangi Sharks in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $58.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sofapaka FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-230.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Sofapaka FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Sofapaka FC, Kariobangi Sharks scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Kariobangi Sharks matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 Sofapaka FC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Sofapaka FC has not lost any of them. 👉 Kariobangi Sharks has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Sofapaka FC playing at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Kariobangi Sharks x Sofapaka FC?

Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2024, you just have to click and bet:

Analysis from Kariobangi Sharks x Sofapaka FC for the Kenya Premier League – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Kariobangi Sharks x Sofapaka FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Kariobangi Sharks x Sofapaka FC

Is betting on Kariobangi Sharks worth it?

🔵 Kariobangi Sharks: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $496.00
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$184.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $714.40
• And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$94.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sofapaka FC?

🔴 Sofapaka FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Kariobangi Sharks x Sofapaka FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Kariobangi Sharks
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kariobangi Sharks x Sofapaka FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Kariobangi Sharks, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Kariobangi Sharks.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Kariobangi Sharks.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kariobangi Sharks x Sofapaka FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.