Posta Rangers x Nairobi City Stars Betting tips for January 11 in Kenya Premier League
π
11/1/2025 10:00 |
Posta Rangers 2.78 |
X 3.00 |
Nairobi City Stars 2.40 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Posta Rangers x Nairobi City Stars:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Posta Rangers x Nairobi City Stars
Some important points for the tip for Posta Rangers x Nairobi City Stars: π If you had bet $100 on Posta Rangers in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
Looking for another bookie to bet on Posta Rangers x Nairobi City Stars?
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Analysis from Posta Rangers x Nairobi City Stars for the Kenya Premier League – 11 of January
ποΈ Posta Rangers X Nairobi City Stars – Kenya Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Posta Rangers x Nairobi City Stars right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244516 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Posta Rangers x Nairobi City Stars
Is betting on Posta Rangers worth it?
π΅ Posta Rangers: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $534.00
- And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$166.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $540.00;
- And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$190.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Nairobi City Stars?
π΄ Nairobi City Stars: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 430 times – profiting $602.00;
- And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just π°$32.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Handicaps analysis for the match Posta Rangers x Nairobi City Stars
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Posta Rangers
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Posta Rangers x Nairobi City Stars
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Posta Rangers, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Posta Rangers.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Nairobi City Stars.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Posta Rangers x Nairobi City Stars
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.