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Home Β» Predictions Β» Tusker x KCB Betting tips for February 2 in Kenya Premier League
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 13h00 Kenya Premier League
Tusker Tusker
PREDICTION No tip
KCB KCB
Don't miss this prediction!

Tusker x KCB Betting tips for February 2 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Tusker x KCB, Sunday, 2/2/2025
πŸ“… 2/2/2025
13:00
Tusker Tusker
2.00
X
3.00
KCB KCB
3.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Tusker x KCB:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Tusker x KCB

The main points for the tip for Tusker x KCB:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tusker in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $520.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on KCB in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Tusker scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against KCB, Tusker scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 KCB matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Tusker x KCB, with Tusker as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, KCB conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Tusker is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
πŸ‘‰ Tusker has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against KCB playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Tusker x KCB for the Kenya Premier League – 2 of February

🏟️ Tusker X KCB – Kenya Premier League
πŸ“… 2 of February, 2025 – 13:00
πŸ”΅ Tusker – Winning probability: 49.51% | Fair line: 2.02
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.25% | Fair line: 3.2
πŸ”΄ KCB – Winning probability: 19.24% | Fair line: 5.2
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tusker
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Tusker x KCB is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1255121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tusker x KCB

Is betting on Tusker worth it?

πŸ”΅ Tusker: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $500.00
  • And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$0.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $620.00
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$70.00.

Should you bet on KCB?

πŸ”΄ KCB: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $494.00;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$316.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tusker x KCB

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tusker
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tusker x KCB

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Tusker and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Tusker.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tusker x KCB

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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