📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Levante x Cadiz
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Analysis from Levante x Cadiz for the Spain Primera Liga – 22 of January
🏟️ Levante X Cadiz – Spain Primera Liga
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Levante x Cadiz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290605 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Levante x Cadiz
Should you bet on Levante?
🔵 Levante: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.77. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 650 times – profiting $500.18;
- And would lose other 350 times – losing -$350.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$150.18.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 200 times – profiting $530.00;
- And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$270.00.
Is it worth betting on Cadiz?
🔴 Cadiz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.59. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $502.60
- And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$357.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Levante x Cadiz
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Levante
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Levante x Cadiz
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Levante, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Levante.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Cadiz.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Levante x Cadiz
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves