📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Valencia x Sevilla
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Analysis from Valencia x Sevilla for the Spain Primera Liga – 19 of January
🏟️ Valencia X Sevilla – Spain Primera Liga
When the best bet on Valencia x Sevilla is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 289909 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Valencia x Sevilla
Is it worth betting on Valencia?
🔵 Valencia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $330.00;
- And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$520.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.14. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $726.24
- And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$66.24.
Is it a good idea to bet on Sevilla?
🔴 Sevilla: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.32. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $686.40
- And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$206.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Valencia x Sevilla
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Valencia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Valencia x Sevilla
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Valencia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Valencia.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Valencia x Sevilla
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves