📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Cruz Azul x Juarez FC
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Analysis from Cruz Azul x Juarez FC for the Mexico Clausura – 16 of January
🏟️ Cruz Azul X Juarez FC – Mexico Clausura
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cruz Azul x Juarez FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 287992 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Cruz Azul x Juarez FC
Should you bet on Cruz Azul?
🔵 Cruz Azul: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 81.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 820 times – having a profit of $464.12;
- And would lose other 180 times – having a loss of -$180.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$284.12.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $280.00
- And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$620.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Juarez FC?
🔴 Juarez FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $360.00
- And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$560.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cruz Azul x Juarez FC
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Cruz Azul
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cruz Azul x Juarez FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Cruz Azul and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Cruz Azul.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Cruz Azul.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cruz Azul x Juarez FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
Our tips are also on YouTube
Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Sunday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!
Get tips from our experts on your cellphone
Besides the tips automatically generated by our machine learning algorithm for Cruz Azul x Juarez FC that you have seen here, you can also receive the best tips analysed by our experts from Clube da Aposta on your cellphone, without paying a penny for it! All you have to do is click on the banner below to start receving the best bets for this Sunday:
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves