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16/1/2022 18:00 |
 Toluca2.45 |
X 3.20 |
Santos Laguna  2.80 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Toluca x Santos Laguna:
๐ฎ Toluca wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Toluca, you can win up to $1225.00!
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Toluca x Santos Laguna
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Toluca x Santos Laguna?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Toluca x Santos Laguna:
Analysis from Toluca x Santos Laguna for the Mexico Clausura – 16 of January
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๐๏ธ Toluca X Santos Laguna – Mexico Clausura |
When the best bet on Toluca x Santos Laguna is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288253 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Toluca x Santos Laguna
Should you bet on Toluca?
๐ต Toluca: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 520 times – profiting $754.00;
- And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$274.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $352.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$488.00.
Is betting on Santos Laguna worth it?
๐ด Santos Laguna: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $594.00;
- And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$76.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Toluca x Santos Laguna
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Toluca
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Toluca x Santos Laguna
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Toluca and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Toluca.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Toluca.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Toluca x Santos Laguna
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
