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Home ยป Predictions ยป Major League Soccer ยป Atlanta United x CF Montreal Betting tips for October 2 in USA MLS
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 20h30 USA MLS
Atlanta United Atlanta United
PREDICTION Atlanta United wins Probability 82% 1 X 2
CF Montreal CF Montreal
ODD: @1.56 Don't miss this prediction!

Atlanta United x CF Montreal Betting tips for October 2 in USA MLS

Our betting tip for Atlanta United x CF Montreal, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 2/10/2024
20:30
Atlanta United Atlanta United
1.56
X
4.49
CF Montreal CF Montreal
4.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Atlanta United x CF Montreal:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Atlanta United wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atlanta United, you can win up to $780.00!

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Important information for your tip for Atlanta United x CF Montreal:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atlanta United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CF Montreal in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against CF Montreal, Atlanta United scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, CF Montreal conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Atlanta United has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against CF Montreal playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Atlanta United x CF Montreal for the USA MLS – 2 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Atlanta United X CF Montreal – USA MLS
๐Ÿ“… 2 of October, 2024 – 20:30
๐Ÿ”ต Atlanta United – Winning probability: 82.09% | Fair line: 1.22
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.94% | Fair line: 11.19
๐Ÿ”ด CF Montreal – Winning probability: 8.97% | Fair line: 11.15
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Atlanta United
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Atlanta United x CF Montreal is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1193870 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atlanta United x CF Montreal

Is it worth betting on Atlanta United?

๐Ÿ”ต Atlanta United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 82.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.56. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 820 times – profiting $459.20;
  • And would lose other 180 times – losing -$180.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$279.20.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.49. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $314.10
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$595.90.

Should you bet on CF Montreal?

๐Ÿ”ด CF Montreal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $342.00
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$568.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atlanta United x CF Montreal

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Atlanta United
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atlanta United x CF Montreal

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Atlanta United and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Atlanta United.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atlanta United x CF Montreal

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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