Colorado Rapids x Sporting Kansas City Betting tips for July 5 in USA MLS
| 📅 5/7/2025 01:30 |
 Colorado Rapids1.89 |
X 3.84 |
Sporting Kansas City  3.54 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Colorado Rapids x Sporting Kansas City:
🔮 Colorado Rapids wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Colorado Rapids, you can win up to $945.00!
The main points for the tip for Colorado Rapids x Sporting Kansas City:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Colorado Rapids in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $108.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting Kansas City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
👉 In the last 7 Colorado Rapids matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Colorado Rapids has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Sporting Kansas City playing at home.
🤖 What does ChatGPT have to say about our prediction for Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City?
The Colorado Rapids host Sporting Kansas City at Dicks Sporting Goods Park, their usual stadium, which already gives a natural advantage to the Rapids. Analyzing recent statistics, Colorado has a decent home performance with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 home games, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per match and conceding about 0.6 goals. Meanwhile, Sporting KC shows difficulties away from home with only 1 win in the last 5 away games and a similar average of goals scored (1), but concedes more goals (1.4) and has evident defensive issues.
The median odds indicate a favoritism for Colorado Rapids (1.89), followed by a draw (3.8) and an away win (3.55). Converting these odds into normalized implied probabilities, we get approximately: Colorado win ~52%, draw ~26%, and Sporting KC win ~22%. Considering the offensive/defensive stats, the slightly higher ball possession of the visitors does not compensate for their defensive fragilities away from home.
My analysis suggests fair odds close to: Colorado victory between 1.85-1.90, draw between 3.5-3.7, and an away win above 4 due to recent poor away performance.
Calculating expected value using the final market odds: betting on Colorados win shows a positive EV above +8%, while draw and away win have negative or very low EV.
Recommended bet: Colorado Rapids victory with a significant positive expected value — a good betting opportunity! ⚽🔥
📰 News: Colorado is in an intermediate position in the Western Conference table, showing recent progress such as the 2-0 victory against LA Galaxy; meanwhile, Sporting Kansas City faces key player injuries that could negatively impact their offensive/defensive performance in this crucial away match.
Final analysis: I fully agree with the Bets Kenya models suggestion that indicates value in betting on the home team here — it’s a solid tip based on recent stats, team context, and injury scenarios!
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Analysis from Colorado Rapids x Sporting Kansas City for the USA MLS – 5 of July
🏟️ Colorado Rapids X Sporting Kansas City – USA MLS
📅 5 of July, 2025 – 01:30
🔵 Colorado Rapids – Winning probability: 63.00% | Fair line: 1.59
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.72% | Fair line: 5.07
🔴 Sporting Kansas City – Winning probability: 17.28% | Fair line: 5.79
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Colorado Rapids
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks
When the best bet on Colorado Rapids x Sporting Kansas City is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1348443 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Colorado Rapids x Sporting Kansas City
Is betting on Colorado Rapids worth it?
🔵 Colorado Rapids: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.89. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 630 times – this would give you a profit of $560.70
- And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$190.70.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.84. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $568.00
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$232.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Sporting Kansas City?
🔴 Sporting Kansas City: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.54. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $431.80
- And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$398.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Colorado Rapids x Sporting Kansas City
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Colorado Rapids
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Colorado Rapids x Sporting Kansas City
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Colorado Rapids and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Colorado Rapids.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Sporting Kansas City.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Colorado Rapids x Sporting Kansas City
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.
