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Home ยป Predictions ยป Major League Soccer ยป Houston Dynamo x New England Revolution Betting tips for October 2 in USA MLS
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 21h30 USA MLS
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
PREDICTION Houston Dynamo wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
New England Revolution New England Revolution
ODD: @1.48 Don't miss this prediction!

Houston Dynamo x New England Revolution Betting tips for October 2 in USA MLS

Our betting tip for Houston Dynamo x New England Revolution, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 2/10/2024
21:30
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
1.48
X
4.35
New England Revolution New England Revolution
5.95

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Houston Dynamo x New England Revolution:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Houston Dynamo wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Houston Dynamo, you can win up to $740.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Houston Dynamo x New England Revolution:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Houston Dynamo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on New England Revolution in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-140.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ New England Revolution did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, New England Revolution conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Houston Dynamo conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against New England Revolution.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for New England Revolution as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Houston Dynamo x New England Revolution?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Houston Dynamo x New England Revolution, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Houston Dynamo x New England Revolution for the USA MLS – 2 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Houston Dynamo X New England Revolution – USA MLS
๐Ÿ“… 2 of October, 2024 – 21:30
๐Ÿ”ต Houston Dynamo – Winning probability: 86.78% | Fair line: 1.15
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.44% | Fair line: 11.85
๐Ÿ”ด New England Revolution – Winning probability: 4.78% | Fair line: 20.91
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Houston Dynamo
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Houston Dynamo x New England Revolution right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1193870 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Houston Dynamo x New England Revolution

Is it worth betting on Houston Dynamo?

๐Ÿ”ต Houston Dynamo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 870 times – having a profit of $417.60;
  • And would lose other 130 times – losing -$130.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$287.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $268.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$652.00.

Is it worth betting on New England Revolution?

๐Ÿ”ด New England Revolution: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $247.50
  • And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$702.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Houston Dynamo x New England Revolution

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Houston Dynamo
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Houston Dynamo x New England Revolution

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Houston Dynamo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Houston Dynamo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Houston Dynamo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Houston Dynamo x New England Revolution

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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