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Home » Predictions » Major League Soccer » LA Galaxy x Minnesota United Betting tips for November 24 in USA MLS Play-Offs
Sunday, 24 November 2024, 23h00 USA MLS Play-Offs
LA Galaxy LA Galaxy
PREDICTION LA Galaxy wins Probability 75% 1 X 2
Minnesota United Minnesota United
ODD: @1.65 Don't miss this prediction!

LA Galaxy x Minnesota United Betting tips for November 24 in USA MLS Play-Offs

Our betting tip for LA Galaxy x Minnesota United, Sunday, 24/11/2024
📅 24/11/2024
23:00
LA Galaxy LA Galaxy
1.65
X
4.00
Minnesota United Minnesota United
4.59

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for LA Galaxy x Minnesota United:

🔮 LA Galaxy wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on LA Galaxy, you can win up to $825.00!

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Some important points for the tip for LA Galaxy x Minnesota United:

👉 If you had bet $100 on LA Galaxy in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $398.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Minnesota United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $490.0.
👉 Minnesota United did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, LA Galaxy scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Minnesota United, LA Galaxy scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Minnesota United matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 LA Galaxy matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between LA Galaxy x Minnesota United, with LA Galaxy as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, LA Galaxy conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Minnesota United.
👉 LA Galaxy is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Minnesota United has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from LA Galaxy x Minnesota United for the USA MLS Play-Offs – 24 of November

🏟️ LA Galaxy X Minnesota United – USA MLS Play-Offs
📅 24 of November, 2024 – 23:00
🔵 LA Galaxy – Winning probability: 75.34% | Fair line: 1.33
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.72% | Fair line: 8.53
🔴 Minnesota United – Winning probability: 12.94% | Fair line: 7.73
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 LA Galaxy
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on LA Galaxy x Minnesota United is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1226284 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for LA Galaxy x Minnesota United

Is it worth betting on LA Galaxy?

🔵 LA Galaxy: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 75.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 750 times – profiting $487.50;
  • And would lose other 250 times – losing -$250.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$237.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $360.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$520.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Minnesota United?

🔴 Minnesota United: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.59. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $466.70;
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$403.30.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match LA Galaxy x Minnesota United

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 LA Galaxy
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for LA Galaxy x Minnesota United

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 LA Galaxy, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 LA Galaxy.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 LA Galaxy.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for LA Galaxy x Minnesota United

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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