Los Angeles FC x St. Louis City SC Betting tips for October 2 in USA MLS
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2/10/2024 23:30 |
 Los Angeles FC1.47 |
X 4.75 |
St. Louis City SC  5.50 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Los Angeles FC x St. Louis City SC:
๐ฎ Los Angeles FC wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Los Angeles FC, you can win up to $735.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Los Angeles FC x St. Louis City SC: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Los Angeles FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-66.0. |
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Analysis from Los Angeles FC x St. Louis City SC for the USA MLS – 2 of October
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๐๏ธ Los Angeles FC X St. Louis City SC – USA MLS |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Los Angeles FC x St. Louis City SC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1193870 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Los Angeles FC x St. Louis City SC
Is it worth betting on Los Angeles FC?
๐ต Los Angeles FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 81.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.47. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 810 times – having a profit of $380.70;
- And would have lost other 190 times – with a loss of -$190.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$190.70.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $487.50
- And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$382.50.
Is betting on St. Louis City SC worth it?
๐ด St. Louis City SC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $270.00;
- And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$670.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Los Angeles FC x St. Louis City SC
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Los Angeles FC
โฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Los Angeles FC x St. Louis City SC
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Los Angeles FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Los Angeles FC.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Los Angeles FC x St. Louis City SC
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.
