Nashville SC x Philadelphia Union Betting tips for July 6 in USA MLS
| 📅 6/7/2025 00:30 |
 Nashville SC1.91 |
X 3.66 |
Philadelphia Union  3.54 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Nashville SC x Philadelphia Union:
🔮 Nashville SC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nashville SC, you can win up to $955.00!
Important information for your tip for Nashville SC x Philadelphia Union:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nashville SC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Philadelphia Union in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $330.0.
👉 In the last 3 Philadelphia Union matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Nashville SC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Philadelphia Union.
🤖 What’s ChatGPT’s opinion on our prediction for Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?
Lets analyze the match between Nashville SC and Philadelphia Union at Geodis Park, home of Nashville SC, which is the largest soccer-specific stadium in the US and Canada, providing a favorable environment for the home team.
Statistically, Nashville SC shows a solid defense at home with only 4 goals conceded in the last 5 games at their stadium and maintains an unbeaten streak of 10 recent matches in the season. The team averages 1 goal per game at home and creates more chances (14 shots per game) than they concede (8). Philadelphia Union is also very strong, especially away, where they have won 3 of the last 5 games with an average of just 0.8 goals conceded per match. They have an efficient attack with nearly one goal per away game.
The median odds indicate moderate favoritism for Nashville (1.97), a draw (3.56), and the visiting team (3.35). After normalizing the implied probabilities from the median odds, we get approximately: Nashville win ~47%, draw ~28%, Philadelphia win ~25%. Considering the balanced offensive/defensive stats but the clear home advantage at Geodis Park and the recent unbeaten streak, my fair estimate would be something close to: Nashville win around 50%, draw about 30%, and visitor win near 20%.
Converting these fair probabilities into fair odds, we get values close to: Nashville @2.00, Draw @3.33, Philadelphia @5.00. Comparing with the final odds offered by bookmakers (Nashville @1.80, Draw @3.70, Philadelphia @4.20), it’s noticeable that the market offers interesting value in the draw (+11%) and the visitor win (+16%), while betting on the home win seems to have negative value (-10%).
However, considering the current form of the teams — especially Nashville SC’s long recent unbeaten streak playing in their modern stadium — I think betting against them might be too risky despite attractive odds for visitors or draws.
Suggested Bet: Nashville SC win. Although the final odds are lower than my calculated fair odds (~2), the Bets Kenya model also indicates high positive value in this bet (+15% EV). This reinforces my confidence in the strong defensive home advantage combined with recent good offensive performance.
📰 News:
Nashville has been on a winless streak for over two months under solid coaching; Philadelphia is strong but recently suffered a defeat using out-of-position players.
The fact that this game is at Geodis Park adds even more weight to the home favoritism due to the unique atmosphere of this new giant stadium designed to bring fans closer to the action.
These factors make me fully agree with the Bets Kenya model on betting on the home victory as the best option here!
In summary: trust the powerful home advantage + excellent current form + solid defense = safe bet on Nashville SC victory. Good luck! ⚽🔥
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Nashville SC x Philadelphia Union?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Nashville SC x Philadelphia Union, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Nashville SC x Philadelphia Union for the USA MLS – 6 of July
🏟️ Nashville SC X Philadelphia Union – USA MLS
📅 6 of July, 2025 – 00:30
🔵 Nashville SC – Winning probability: 76.65% | Fair line: 1.3
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.19% | Fair line: 7.05
🔴 Philadelphia Union – Winning probability: 9.16% | Fair line: 10.91
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Nashville SC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nashville SC x Philadelphia Union right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1348834 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Nashville SC x Philadelphia Union
Is it worth betting on Nashville SC?
🔵 Nashville SC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 76.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 770 times – this would give you a profit of $700.70
- And would lose other 230 times – having a loss of -$230.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$470.70.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.66. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – profiting $372.40;
- And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$487.60.
Is betting on Philadelphia Union worth it?
🔴 Philadelphia Union: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.54. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $228.60;
- And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$681.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Nashville SC x Philadelphia Union
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Nashville SC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nashville SC x Philadelphia Union
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Nashville SC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Nashville SC.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nashville SC x Philadelphia Union
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
