New York City FC x Philadelphia Union Betting tips for April 12 in USA MLS

Our betting tip for New York City FC x Philadelphia Union, Saturday, 12/4/2025

📅 12/4/2025 23:30

New York City FC 2.11

X 3.70

Philadelphia Union 3.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for New York City FC x Philadelphia Union:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for New York City FC x Philadelphia Union

Some important points for the tip for New York City FC x Philadelphia Union: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Philadelphia Union in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $262.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, New York City FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Philadelphia Union scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Philadelphia Union, New York City FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 New York City FC matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between New York City FC x Philadelphia Union, with New York City FC as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, New York City FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, New York City FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Philadelphia Union. 👉 Even as a visitor, Philadelphia Union won the last 4 head-to-head matches New York City FC´s territory

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Analysis from New York City FC x Philadelphia Union for the USA MLS – 12 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for New York City FC x Philadelphia Union right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1302086 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for New York City FC x Philadelphia Union

Is betting on New York City FC worth it?

🔵 New York City FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.11. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $499.50;
• And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$50.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $756.00;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$36.00.

Is betting on Philadelphia Union worth it?

🔴 Philadelphia Union: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $540.00;
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$190.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match New York City FC x Philadelphia Union

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 New York City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for New York City FC x Philadelphia Union

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 New York City FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 New York City FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Philadelphia Union.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for New York City FC x Philadelphia Union

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.