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Home » Predictions » Major League Soccer » Orlando City SC x New York Red Bulls Betting tips for April 12 in USA MLS
Saturday, 12 April 2025, 20h30 USA MLS
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 28% 1 X 2
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
ODD: @3.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Orlando City SC x New York Red Bulls Betting tips for April 12 in USA MLS

Our betting tip for Orlando City SC x New York Red Bulls, Saturday, 12/4/2025
📅 12/4/2025
20:30
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
1.83
X
3.70
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
4.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Orlando City SC x New York Red Bulls:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1850.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Orlando City SC x New York Red Bulls:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Orlando City SC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on New York Red Bulls in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Orlando City SC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Orlando City SC x New York Red Bulls, with Orlando City SC as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Orlando City SC matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Orlando City SC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Orlando City SC x New York Red Bulls for the USA MLS – 12 of April

🏟️ Orlando City SC X New York Red Bulls – USA MLS
📅 12 of April, 2025 – 20:30
🔵 Orlando City SC – Winning probability: 57.74% | Fair line: 1.73
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.47% | Fair line: 3.51
🔴 New York Red Bulls – Winning probability: 13.79% | Fair line: 7.25
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Orlando City SC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Orlando City SC x New York Red Bulls right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1301554 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Orlando City SC x New York Red Bulls

Is it a good idea to bet on Orlando City SC?

🔵 Orlando City SC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.83. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 580 times – profiting $481.40;
  • And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$61.40. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $756.00
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$36.00.

Is it worth betting on New York Red Bulls?

🔴 New York Red Bulls: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $420.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$440.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Orlando City SC x New York Red Bulls

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Orlando City SC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Orlando City SC x New York Red Bulls

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Orlando City SC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Orlando City SC.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Orlando City SC x New York Red Bulls

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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