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Home » Predictions » Mazatlan FC x Tijuana Betting tips for April 17 in Mexico Liga MX
Thursday, 17 April 2025, 03h00 Mexico Liga MX
Mazatlan FC Mazatlan FC
PREDICTION Mazatlan FC wins Probability 56% 1 X 2
Tijuana Tijuana
ODD: @2.15 Don't miss this prediction!

Mazatlan FC x Tijuana Betting tips for April 17 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Mazatlan FC x Tijuana, Thursday, 17/4/2025
📅 17/4/2025
03:00
Mazatlan FC Mazatlan FC
2.15
X
3.30
Tijuana Tijuana
3.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Mazatlan FC x Tijuana:

🔮 Mazatlan FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mazatlan FC, you can win up to $1075.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Mazatlan FC x Tijuana:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mazatlan FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $182.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tijuana in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $400.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Mazatlan FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Tijuana scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Tijuana, Mazatlan FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Tijuana matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Mazatlan FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Tijuana conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Mazatlan FC x Tijuana for the Mexico Liga MX – 17 of April

🏟️ Mazatlan FC X Tijuana – Mexico Liga MX
📅 17 of April, 2025 – 03:00
🔵 Mazatlan FC – Winning probability: 56.41% | Fair line: 1.77
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.37% | Fair line: 4.91
🔴 Tijuana – Winning probability: 23.22% | Fair line: 4.31
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Mazatlan FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Mazatlan FC and Tijuana.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1305181 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mazatlan FC x Tijuana

Should you bet on Mazatlan FC?

🔵 Mazatlan FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – this would give you a profit of $644.00
  • And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$204.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $460.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$340.00.

Is betting on Tijuana worth it?

🔴 Tijuana: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $483.00
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$287.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Mazatlan FC x Tijuana

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Mazatlan FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mazatlan FC x Tijuana

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Mazatlan FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Mazatlan FC.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mazatlan FC x Tijuana

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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